SITREP — June 19, 2025
Thursday — Operation True Promise 3 — Twelve-Day War Day 7 — 1 wave recorded
Summary
On June 19, 2025, Day 7 of the Twelve-Day War, Iran launched a single wave (Wave 12) consisting of 8 ultra-heavy, long-range, two-stage Sejjil ballistic missiles targeting Tel Aviv. This represented a reduced operational tempo compared to previous days but introduced Iran's most powerful ballistic missile system into the conflict.
No confirmed impacts or casualties were reported, suggesting Israeli BMD systems may have successfully intercepted the salvo. The use of Sejjil missiles — with their longer range, solid-fuel propulsion, and heavier warheads — represented a qualitative escalation even as the quantitative tempo decreased.
Coalition Actions
- Israeli BMD systems (likely Arrow-3/Arrow-2) engaged 8 incoming Sejjil missiles targeting Tel Aviv.
- Interceptions confirmed but rate unknown. No confirmed impacts reported, suggesting effective defence against this particular salvo.
- Home Front Command maintained shelter directives for central Israel.
Iranian Actions
- IRGC launched Wave 12 at 18:00 UTC with 8 Sejjil two-stage solid-fuel ballistic missiles targeting Tel Aviv.
- First confirmed use of ultra-heavy, long-range Sejjil missiles in the TP3 campaign — represents Iran's most capable MRBM system.
- Reduced to single wave after multi-wave days, potentially indicating logistical repositioning or strategic pause following the Fattah-1 deployment on Day 5.
Waves & Munitions
Tactical Assessment
- Sejjil deployment: Introduction of ultra-heavy two-stage Sejjil missiles — Iran's most capable MRBM — represents a qualitative escalation in warhead weight and kinetic energy.
- Reduced tempo: Single wave after consecutive multi-wave days may indicate logistical constraints, a strategic pause, or a shift toward quality over quantity.
- Tel Aviv focus: Continued concentration on Tel Aviv as the primary target reflects the strategic importance IRGC places on Israel's political and economic center.
- Day 18 gap: No SITREP for June 18 suggests a possible operational pause on Day 6 before resuming with the Sejjil salvo.
Responses & Reactions
- Israel: IDF confirmed engagement of incoming Sejjil missiles. No impacts reported, suggesting successful interception of this particular salvo.
- United States: Expressed concern over the deployment of Iran's most advanced missile systems. Continued BMD support.
- International: Ceasefire negotiations continued with urgency as the conflict entered its second week.
- Iran: IRGC highlighted the deployment of Sejjil missiles as demonstrating Iran's strategic reach and strike capability.
Data & Charts
For interactive data and visualizations, see:
- Wave Timeline — All waves in reverse chronological order
- Interactive Map — Launch sites, targets, and bases
- TP4 Data Table — Searchable wave records
- Analysis Charts — Timing, weapons, targets, escalation