Open Source Intelligence
Promise Denied
A structured, open-source dataset documenting every salvo of Iran's ballistic missile, cruise missile, and drone attacks against Israel and coalition targets — and the integrated air defence operation intercepting them.
Iran named its strike operations “True Promise” — a promise to destroy.
This project tracks each attack at the data level: weapons fired, targets struck, systems that intercepted them.
The dataset exists to document the threat, catalogue the defence, and ensure the record is preserved.
4 Rounds
— Salvos
— Days
— Countries
Iranian Threat
Explore weapons →
Coalition Defence
Explore defences →
Interactive Map
Every salvo plotted on an interactive map. Launch zones, target locations, munition types, and interception data — filterable by round.
Open the map →
Munitions Wiki
Detailed profiles of Iranian ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and attack drones — plus the Arrow, THAAD, Iron Dome, and other systems intercepting them.
Explore weapons & defences →
Analysis & Charts
Interception rates, escalation trends, cost asymmetry, weapon usage patterns — high-level analysis derived from the dataset.
View analysis →
Attack Salvos & Defence Locations
Launch zones (red), Israeli targets (blue), US/coalition bases (green), and individual attack salvos (diamonds). Open full map →
Attack Rounds
Round 4 ONGOING 28 Feb 2026 – present
72 salvos across 18 days. Multi-theatre escalation targeting Israel & US/coalition assets across 13 countries. 19 killed, 125 wounded. Multi-branch IRGC (Aerospace, Ground, Navy) + proxy forces.
Round 3 13–24 Jun 2025
22 salvos, ~1,700 munitions over 12 days. 86% interception. 33 killed, 3,238 wounded.
Round 2 1 Oct 2024
~200 ballistic missiles. First use of Fattah-1 hypersonic. 20–32 impacts at Nevatim airbase.
Round 1 13–14 Apr 2024
~320 munitions. First direct Iranian attack on Israel. ~99% interception by coalition.
Also on this site
Built with AI: This project was made possible with Anthropic's Claude, which assisted with research, data structuring, analysis, and site development.
Anthropic does not endorse or sponsor this project.
Source data is drawn from news reporting and open-source intelligence (OSINT). Timestamps are approximate and munitions counts may vary across sources.
Always cross-reference against primary sources.
A note on terminology
Iranian operation codenames (True Promise 1–4) appear in some parts of this site for cross-referencing with OSINT, news, and academic sources. Their use is strictly for identification and tracking purposes. It does not constitute any endorsement of these operations, which represent attempted mass murder targeting a civilian population centre. Where possible, we refer to these operations as Rounds 1–4.