SITREP — June 17, 2025
Tuesday — Operation True Promise 3 — Twelve-Day War Day 5 — 2 waves recorded
Summary
On June 17, 2025, Day 5 of the Twelve-Day War, Iran launched 2 attack waves (Waves 10-11) with a significant tactical shift. Wave 10 specifically targeted Israeli airbases from which jets had attacked Iran, with Nevatim Airbase absorbing approximately 32 medium-range ballistic missiles (MRBMs). A direct hit on a hardened F-35I shelter was confirmed, though the IDF claimed no aircraft were damaged.
Glilot intelligence base, Tel Nof base, and Kirya HQ were also hit. Wave 11 introduced the Fattah-1 hypersonic missile to destroy air defense radar systems, representing a SEAD (Suppression of Enemy Air Defenses) strategy to clear the path for follow-on missiles. No confirmed casualties were reported.
Coalition Actions
- Israeli BMD engaged approximately 32 MRBMs targeting Nevatim Airbase; despite interceptions, multiple missiles penetrated defenses.
- Hardened aircraft shelters at Nevatim sustained direct hit — IDF claimed no F-35I aircraft were damaged.
- Air defense radar systems targeted by Fattah-1 missiles, degrading BMD detection capabilities.
- IDF assessed damage to Glilot intelligence base, Tel Nof base, and Kirya HQ.
Iranian Actions
- Wave 10 (08:00 UTC): Ballistic missiles specifically targeting Israeli airbases used for strikes against Iran. Nevatim absorbed ~32 MRBMs. Glilot intel base, Tel Nof, and Kirya HQ also struck.
- Wave 11 (23:00 UTC): Fattah-1 hypersonic missiles deployed to destroy air defense radar systems, creating gaps for subsequent strikes.
- First confirmed use of Fattah-1 in combat — Iran's most advanced ballistic missile with maneuverable reentry vehicle (MaRV) capability.
- Retaliatory targeting of airbases demonstrated Iranian ISR capability to identify launch points of Israeli strikes.
Waves & Munitions
Tactical Assessment
- Retaliatory airbase targeting: Specifically targeting airbases from which Israeli jets struck Iran demonstrates sophisticated ISR and BDA capabilities.
- Fattah-1 debut: First combat use of Iran's most advanced ballistic missile with MaRV capability, specifically deployed in a SEAD role against air defense radars.
- SEAD strategy: Wave 11's radar-targeting role designed to degrade Israeli BMD detection, clearing the path for more effective follow-on strikes.
- Concentrated strikes: ~32 MRBMs on a single airbase (Nevatim) represents a saturation tactic against hardened military infrastructure.
Responses & Reactions
- Israel: IDF confirmed direct hit on hardened F-35I shelter at Nevatim but claimed no aircraft damaged. Assessed damage to intelligence and C2 facilities.
- United States: Expressed concern over degradation of Israeli air defense radar capability. Continued support for BMD operations.
- International: Growing alarm over the introduction of advanced hypersonic missile systems into the conflict. Ceasefire negotiations continued.
- Iran: IRGC highlighted the targeting of airbases used for strikes against Iran and the successful deployment of the Fattah-1 system.
Data & Charts
For interactive data and visualizations, see:
- Wave Timeline — All waves in reverse chronological order
- Interactive Map — Launch sites, targets, and bases
- TP4 Data Table — Searchable wave records
- Analysis Charts — Timing, weapons, targets, escalation