SITREP — June 13, 2025
Friday — Operation True Promise 3 — Twelve-Day War Day 1 — 2 waves recorded
Summary
On June 13, 2025, Iran launched Operation True Promise 3, the opening salvo of what would become known as the Twelve-Day War. 2 attack waves (Waves 1-2) were recorded, with an estimated 100 munitions fired in the opening wave alone. The IRGC targeted military centers and air bases across Israel with a combined ballistic missile and drone assault.
Wave 1 caused serious damage to sensitive military centers in the Tel Aviv area. Wave 2 expanded targeting to Haifa and the Galilee region. A state of emergency was declared across Israel. No confirmed casualties were reported on this opening day, though the scale of the assault signalled a major escalation beyond previous True Promise operations.
Coalition Actions
- Israeli multi-layered BMD systems (Arrow-3, Arrow-2, David's Sling, Iron Dome) engaged approximately 100 incoming munitions across two waves.
- Interception confirmed but rate unknown; multiple penetrations of defense layers reported.
- State of emergency declared across Israel following the opening strikes.
- US CENTCOM placed regional forces on heightened alert.
Iranian Actions
- IRGC launched Wave 1 at 18:30 UTC with approximately 100 ballistic missiles and drones targeting military centers and air bases.
- Wave 2 followed at 19:30 UTC, expanding targeting to Haifa and the Galilee region with ballistic missiles and drones.
- Opening salvo was significantly larger in scale than TP1 (April 2024) and TP2 (October 2024), indicating a substantial increase in Iran's strike capacity.
- IRGC claimed serious damage to sensitive military centers in the Tel Aviv area.
Waves & Munitions
Tactical Assessment
- Scale escalation: The opening salvo of ~100 munitions represented a significant increase over TP1 and TP2, indicating Iran's expanded missile production and stockpiling since October 2024.
- Dual-wave opening: Two waves within one hour designed to test and potentially exhaust initial BMD interceptor stocks before follow-on strikes.
- Geographic spread: Targeting both the Tel Aviv area and the Haifa/Galilee region forced Israel to defend across multiple axes simultaneously.
- Military focus: Initial targeting concentrated on military centers and air bases rather than civilian infrastructure.
Responses & Reactions
- Israel: State of emergency declared nationwide. IDF confirmed engagement of incoming threats. Home Front Command activated full shelter directives.
- United States: CENTCOM placed regional forces on heightened alert. President issued statement condemning Iranian attack.
- International: UN Security Council emergency session convened. Widespread international condemnation.
- Iran: IRGC announced Operation True Promise 3, framing it as a response to Israeli actions and warning of continued operations.
Data & Charts
For interactive data and visualizations, see:
- Wave Timeline — All waves in reverse chronological order
- Interactive Map — Launch sites, targets, and bases
- TP4 Data Table — Searchable wave records
- Analysis Charts — Timing, weapons, targets, escalation