# Iran-Israel OSINT — Full LLM Context

> Open-source intelligence dataset tracking Iranian strike operations against Israel and US/coalition targets. Structuring the dataset of the largest missile defence operation in military history.

## Overview

Since April 2024, Iran has conducted four rounds of large-scale strike operations against Israel and US/coalition targets under the codename "True Promise" (referred to as Rounds 1-4 on this site). These operations represent the largest sustained ballistic missile campaign and the largest multi-layered missile defence operation in military history.

The dataset tracks every confirmed attack wave with structured JSON data covering timing, weapons systems, targets, interception, casualties, and escalation metrics.

Site URL: https://iranisrael.danielrosehill.com
Data repo: https://github.com/danielrosehill/Iran-Israel-War-2026-Data

## Round Summaries

### Round 1 (TP1) — 13-14 April 2024
- First-ever direct Iranian attack on Israeli territory
- ~320 munitions: 170 drones, 30 cruise missiles, 120 ballistic missiles
- ~99% interception rate by Israel/US/UK/Jordan/France coalition
- Trigger: Israeli strike on Iranian consulate in Damascus
- Minimal damage; 1 serious civilian injury
- Significance: Crossed threshold held since 1979

### Round 2 (TP2) — 1 October 2024
- Ballistic-missile-only strike (~200 missiles)
- Targeted Nevatim, Tel Nof airbases and Mossad/Unit 8200 HQ at Glilot
- 20-32 impacts confirmed at Nevatim by satellite imagery
- First combat use of Iran's Fattah-1 hypersonic missile
- Trigger: Assassinations of Haniyeh and Nasrallah
- Significance: Demonstrated ability to penetrate Israeli defences

### Round 3 (TP3) — 13-24 June 2025 ("Twelve-Day War")
- 22 waves over 12 days, ~1,700+ munitions
- Mixed salvos: ballistic missiles + cruise missiles + drones
- 86% interception rate
- 33 killed, 3,238 wounded in Israel
- Major impacts: Haifa refinery, Soroka hospital, Weizmann Institute
- Trigger: Israeli Operation Rising Lion strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities
- Significance: First sustained multi-wave attrition campaign

### Round 4 (TP4) — 28 February 2026 - present (ONGOING)
- 20+ waves and counting
- Multi-theatre expansion targeting US/coalition assets in the Gulf
- Targets span 12 countries: Israel, UAE, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, Iraq, Jordan, Oman, Cyprus, Turkey, Diego Garcia
- Most ambitious Iranian military campaign to date
- Trigger: US-Israeli Operation Epic Fury/Roaring Lion strikes on Iran

## Wave Data Schema (v1)

Each wave is a JSON object with these top-level sections:

### Root fields
- operation: string — Operation identifier (e.g. "tp4")
- wave_number: integer — Sequential wave number
- wave_codename_farsi: string|null — Iranian codename in Farsi
- wave_codename_english: string|null — English translation
- description: string — Free-text summary
- iranian_media_claims: string|null — Iranian state media claims

### timing
- announced_utc: ISO 8601 datetime — When announced
- announcement_source: string — Source (e.g. "IRGC")
- announcement_x_url: string|null — X/Twitter URL
- probable_launch_time: ISO 8601 datetime — Estimated launch time
- launch_time_israel: ISO 8601 datetime — Israel time
- launch_time_iran: ISO 8601 datetime — Iran time
- solar_phase_launch_site: 0|1 — Night/day at launch
- solar_phase_target: 0|1 — Night/day at target
- conflict_day: integer — Day number in operation
- hours_since_last_wave: number|null
- time_between_waves_minutes: number|null
- wave_duration_minutes: number|null

### weapons
- payload: string — Description of weapons
- drones_used: boolean
- ballistic_missiles_used: boolean
- cruise_missiles_used: boolean
- cluster_warhead: boolean|null
- types: object with boolean|null fields for each system:
  emad_used, ghadr_used, sejjil_used, kheibar_shekan_used, fattah_used,
  shahed_136_used, shahed_238_used, shahed_131_used, shahed_107_used,
  shahed_129_used, mohajer_6_used
- categories: object with boolean|null fields:
  bm_liquid_fueled, bm_solid_fueled, bm_marv_equipped, bm_hypersonic, bm_cluster_warhead

### targets
- israel_targeted: boolean
- us_bases_targeted: boolean
- targets: string — Free-text description
- landings_countries: array of ISO 3166-1 alpha-2 codes
- israeli_locations: object with boolean fields:
  targeted_tel_aviv, targeted_jerusalem, targeted_haifa,
  targeted_negev_beersheba, targeted_northern_periphery, targeted_eilat
- us_bases: array of {name: string, country_code: string}
- us_naval_vessels: array
- target_coordinates: {lat: number, lon: number}
- critical_infrastructure: object with boolean|null fields:
  targeted_airport, targeted_energy, targeted_port, targeted_government,
  targeted_industrial, targeted_telecom_data, targeted_diplomatic, targeted_research

### launch_site
- description: string
- lat: number
- lon: number

### interception
- intercepted: boolean
- interception_systems: array of strings (e.g. "Arrow-3", "THAAD")
- intercepted_by: {israel: bool, us: bool, uk: bool, jordan: bool, other: array of strings}
- estimated_intercept_count: integer|null
- estimated_intercept_rate: number|null (0-1)
- exoatmospheric_interception: boolean
- endoatmospheric_interception: boolean
- interception_report: string

### munitions
- estimated_munitions_count: integer|null
- munitions_targeting_israel: integer|null
- munitions_targeting_us_bases: integer|null
- cumulative_total: integer|null

### impact
- damage: string
- fatalities: integer|null
- injuries: integer|null
- civilian_casualties: integer|null
- military_casualties: integer|null

### escalation
- new_country_targeted: boolean
- new_weapon_first_use: boolean

### proxy
- involvement: boolean
- description: string|null

### sources
- idf_statement: string|null
- urls: array of strings

### reactions
- idf: {statement: string|null, url: string|null}
- us_government: {statement: string|null, url: string|null}
- centcom: {statement: string|null, url: string|null}

## Defence Systems Reference

### Israeli Systems
- Arrow-3: Exoatmospheric (space-based) BMD interceptor
- Arrow-2: Upper endoatmospheric BMD interceptor
- David's Sling: Medium-range missile defence
- Iron Dome: Short-range rocket/drone defence
- Iron Beam: Directed-energy weapon (testing phase)

### US/Coalition Systems
- THAAD: Terminal High Altitude Area Defense
- Patriot PAC-3: Medium-range air/missile defence
- Aegis BMD (SM-3): Naval ballistic missile defence (exoatmospheric)
- Aegis BMD (SM-6): Naval air/missile defence (endoatmospheric)

## Iranian Weapons Systems

### Ballistic Missiles
- Emad: Liquid-fueled, ~1,700 km range, MARV-equipped
- Ghadr: Liquid-fueled, ~1,950 km range
- Sejjil: Solid-fueled, ~2,500 km range
- Kheibar Shekan: Solid-fueled, ~1,450 km range, MARV-equipped
- Fattah-1/2: Hypersonic glide vehicle, solid-fueled, ~1,400 km range
- Khorramshahr-4: Liquid-fueled, MRV-capable, ~2,000 km range

### Drones / UAVs
- Shahed-136: Delta-wing one-way attack drone, ~2,500 km range
- Shahed-238: Jet-powered variant, higher speed
- Shahed-131: Smaller one-way attack drone
- Shahed-129: Armed reconnaissance MALE drone
- Mohajer-6: Armed MALE UCAV

### Cruise Missiles
- Paveh: Ground-launched cruise missile, ~1,650 km range
- Hoveyzeh: Ground-launched cruise missile, ~1,350 km range

## Belligerents

### Defence Coalition
- Israel (IDF/IAF): Primary defender
- United States (CENTCOM): Coalition lead, forward defence in Gulf
- United Kingdom (RAF): Interception support from Cyprus
- France: Naval and air support in Eastern Mediterranean
- Jordan (RJAF): Airspace defence, drone/missile intercepts
- Saudi Arabia: Patriot defence, airspace denial
- UAE: THAAD/Patriot, defended own territory in TP4

### Iran / IRGC
- IRGC Aerospace Force: Primary strike force
- IRGC Drone Command: UAV operations
- IRGC Navy (IRGCN): Naval strike, anti-shipping
- IRGC Quds Force: Proxy coordination

### Iranian Proxies
- Hezbollah (Lebanon): Northern front against Israel
- Ansar Allah / Houthis (Yemen): Red Sea anti-shipping, long-range strikes
- Islamic Resistance in Iraq: Attacks on US bases in Iraq/Syria
- Palestinian Islamic Jihad (Gaza): Rocket attacks on southern Israel
- Hamas (Gaza): Initiated Oct 2023 escalation cycle

## Disclaimer

AI-generated content for informational purposes only. Data should be independently verified. Timestamps are approximate. Munitions counts and casualty figures vary across sources.